i
Adding a leg never pays less
Requiring more things to happen cannot make a slip more likely, so it can never shorten your multiplier. Enforced across every sub-slip, not just checked.
Every leg, one clock.Turn insight
Turn insight
into upside.
Prediction markets and parlays, in one terminal. Stack two to six assets into a slip, each with a direction and a target, and every leg has to touch before the clock runs out.
Same tier, same odds
7.36xBold, over 4 hours
AAPLhas to move +0.65%
PONShas to move +5.2%
SHROOMhas to move +14.6%
Example · the board is still warming upSame length, because each has the same 42% chance of getting there. A calm equity needs a fraction of a percent where a memecoin needs a hundred. That is what a tier buys.
The mechanic
Four bets. One deadline. All or nothing.
A leg lands the moment its price touches the target, even for a second, and it stays landed if the price falls back afterwards. Every leg shares the same clock, so the slip is decided by whichever one is slowest to get there.
- Two to six legs, each an asset and a direction
- Touch once and the leg is locked in
- One miss and the slip is gone
- Sell nothing, wait for the clock
One clock
4:000 of 4 landed
- NVDA +0.9%
- GLD +0.4%
- PONS +14.5%
- COIN +2.1%
All four land33.1x
Tiers
You pick the payout. We solve for the move.
You never type a percent. Choose how hard you want it, and the engine measures each asset’s own volatility and puts the target exactly where the chance of touching it is worth that payout. Change the tier or the clock below and watch the targets rewrite themselves against live prices.
Tier · payout per leg
Clock
Example · the board is still warming up
AAPL+0.65%
PONS+5.2%
SHROOM+14.6%
Each leg lands42%
All of them land12.78%
Slip pays7.36x
How the odds are built
Correlation is the whole game.
Multiplying leg probabilities together is the naive answer and it is wrong. Assets that move together make a slip far easier than the product suggests, so a book that prices them as independent gets drained on one market-wide green candle. We measure how each pair actually moves and price the slip on that.
Three memecoins
They pump together, so needing all three is barely harder than needing one.
PONSSHROOMUBIK
0.55 correlation
Pays4.96x
Across categories
A stock, a memecoin and another stock are three genuinely separate bets.
AAPLPONSNVDA
0.27 correlation
Pays7.04x
Same shape, same tier, same clock — 1.4x more for mixing. Shown here from the category priors the book starts at; once the board has history it is measured from how the assets actually moved.
What the engine guarantees
Three promises most books quietly break.
ii
The same slip always quotes the same
A quote is a pure function of your legs, tier and clock. There is nothing to gain by refreshing until a better number appears.
iii
Settled from recorded prices
One tick per asset per minute is written down, and legs settle against those records rather than a live read, so the same ticks always produce the same result.
Also in the terminal
Straight yes-or-no markets, when you want one bet.
Not everything needs a parlay. The markets board carries single binary questions on the same universe, priced by an automated market maker you can sell back to at any time before it resolves.
Bonded tokens0
Tokens that filled a Pons bonding curve and migrated to a pool. Will it hold above the price it graduated at?
Tokenized stocks0
Equities on Robinhood Chain with a Chainlink feed. Will it close above the strike?
0assets priced live
0categories to mix
0legs at most
—book exposure cap
Ready when you are.
Balances are play money while we find out what people want to trade. Nothing to deposit, nothing to withdraw, nothing to lose but the leaderboard.